PROVIDENCE (-16) over Boston College
Boston College is really bad. They’re 1-4 ATS. They’ve played eight games, but three of those haven’t had spreads because their opponents were so off the radar. One of them was their most recent game against UMass-Lowell at home. They lost. They lost to Penn State by 9, Santa Clara by 17, UC-Irvine by 13, and Michigan State by 31. Oh, and half their team just got E. coli from Chipotle. Providence’s only loss this year is to Michigan State. Kris Dunn is gonna light up the Eagles.
INDIANA ST. (+7.5) over Valpo
Valpo is the better team, but they did lose to Ball State recently and anyone who loses to Ball State can’t be trusted to win by eight points on the road. It’s the Sycamores first home game since November 20th, so I expect them to be energized and ready for the in-state battle.
Nebraska (+5 ) over CREIGHTON
Creighton hasn’t beat anybody and they just dropped one to Loyola (IL) this past weekend. Nebraska has played a better schedule and been competitive. Nebraska will have the best two players on the floor with Andrew White and Shavon Shields. This line doesn’t make much sense if you’ve watched either of these teams play.
UNLV (+7.5) over WICHITA ST.
The Shockers are 3-4 so far this year and have been injury plagued from the jump. Fred Van Vleet came back to play Saint Louis, but he still doesn’t seem near 100%. Their best big man, Anton Grady, is still out indefinitely after suffering a spinal concussion and that’s gonna be a real issue against Stephen Zimmerman. UNLV has been off to a great start this year with wins over IU and Oregon, and their own loss was a narrow one against UCLA. Oh, and Patrick McCaw is still awesome.
Long Beach St. (+5) over PEPPERDINE
Pepperdine just hasn’t played nearly as many quality opponents as The Beach and they’re both .500. Long Beach’s biggest weakness is their size inside and that’s not a strength of the Waves. Nick Faust has been cookin’ for Long Beach and when he’s rolling, he’s a really difficult player to stop.
IPFW (+20.5) over INDIANA
The line has jumped from 16.5, so this is more of a value play than anything. The Mastodons are 7-0 ATS so far this year. I’m not falling over myself to get this to the window, but IPFW should be able to score enough against IU’s poor defense to keep within the number.
MICHIGAN ST. (-32.5) over MD-Eastern Shore
MDES is 1-7 and gets blown out frequently. The team’s been on the road for close to a week and they just lost to UNC-Central and UNC A&T since they left home. It’s a ton of points, but this one is gonna be a blood bath.
CHARLOTTE (pick) over Miami
The Hornets are 7-2 in their last nine game and their only losses are to Golden State and Cleveland. They’re still undervalued at this point, if you ask me.
Memphis (+4) over DETROIT
Another one I like, but don’t love. The two teams have equal 12-10 records. Andre Drummond is probably going to have a field day on the boards because Memphis is the second worst in the NBA on the glass. Memphis is on a back-to-back, which is usually a bad thing, but the Grizz are 4-1 straight up and ATS on the second game of a B2B. Mike Conley should slow down Reggie Jackson.
DALLAS (+1.5) over Atlanta
Dallas started out as the favorites and now they’re dogs. Once again, matching 13-9 records. Hawks have been flip-flopping between wins and losses for ten games straight and they’re due for a loss. I like that trend to continue on the road.