6-0 start to the week. It was absolutely deserved after the torture of last week. There is a SHIT TON of CBB games today and some of them have already happened, but I may add a couple late games after this is originally posted as I sift through more of the games.
GEORGIA (-2.5) over Clemson
Clemson is 7-4, but they’ve lost every game that is higher than 229 in KenPom’s ratings. This will be their second road game. The first one resulted in a six point loss to a pretty bad Minnesota team. The Bulldogs are definitely not world beaters, but their three losses so far this year are by a total of 11 points and none of them would be considered bad losses.
Xavier (-7) over WAKE FOREST
Road, home, neutral, good team, bad team, okay team…it doesn’t really matter. Either way, Xavier has been beating them by double digits all year. They’ve got a +18 point differential. Wake Forest has some good wins, but they haven’t shown the ability to bury bad teams, which speaks to their overall talent level.
DAYTON (-16) over Miami (OH)
The Redhawks aren’t a good team and they’re REALLY not good on the road. They’ve played three games on the road and by far the most impressive was a 9 point loss to Xavier on opening night, but since then they lost to IUPUI by 14 and Tennessee Tech by 13. Dayton is having another good year.
OLD DOMINION (-1.5) over Rhode Island
ODU is only 5-6, but all of their losses are away from their home arena and none of them have come to teams outside of KenPom’s top 100. They’ve buried teams all year at home, although none of them are as good as the Rams. I still like them to win this by at least a bucket.
WESTERN KENTUCKY (-3) over Detroit
Two pretty evenly matched teams, but not surprisingly the Hilltoppers are much better playing at home and Detroit hasn’t looked good away from their home floor.
IOWA (-20) over Tennessee Tech
Iowa has had a frustrating past couple of games with the huge blown lead that resulted in a loss to Iowa State and the narrow win over Drake on a neutral court with Jarrod Uthoff battling foul trouble all game. I expect their offense to explode and take out all that frustration on a Tech team that has a rather generous defense.
ARIZONA (-17) over Long Beach State
The 49ers always schedule a brutal non-conference slate every year and just about every year they compete at the beginning and maybe even win a couple games. But then they always fade and that’s happening again. Combine that with their biggest weakness are big teams that rebound well, this is not a good matchup versus an Arizona team that has quietly been rolling people.
Mercer (+11) over OHIO STATE
A young team that has struggled all year that just got a huge win going against a dangerous low-major team? Give me the dangerous low-major team. Buckeyes are gonna have to battle for this one.
Colorado (-6.5) over Penn State
Colorado is a pretty good team whose only loss was a close one against Iowa State. Penn State has really had to work to beat Louisiana-Monroe and Drexel in their past two games.
HEAT-Pistons over 194.5
Neither of these teams play with a lot of pace, but each of their scoring outputs on offense have seen an uptick in the last ten games and they’re giving up more as well. Detroit has hit the over in five straight and Miami has hit the over in four of their last five.