4-1 yesterday. Our only loss was Villanova, who was up 39-11 at half, but gave up 29 points over the last ten minutes of the game to only win by 20. Oh well.
FLORIDA (-5) over Florida State
The Seminoles are a talented young team, but their schedule so far has been Charmin soft. They’ve only played one true road game, but to their credit they took an experienced Iowa team into overtime. Florida has been great at home, winning every game by at least 20 and that includes a pretty good Richmond team. The Gators have played a much tougher schedule and I expect them to take care of their in-state rivals in their building.
GEORGIA (-18) over Robert Morris
Ever since the Bulldogs had an 11-day break from games, they’ve played their two best games of the year, beating Georgia Tech by 14 and Clemson by 23. Bob Morris is 0-8 on the road and only one of those games is against a top-100 team.
WILLIAM & MARY (-6.5) over Central Michigan
The Tribe are 5-0 at home. They’ve beaten Old Dominion, NC State on the road by 17, and they only lost by three at Dayton. Central Michigan has lost every game they’ve played away from their home building and are one of the worst defensive teams in the country.
TEXAS (-2) over Connecticut
This feels like stealin’ money to me. The Longhorns have been getting better. They got off to a slow start, but that’s to be expected with a new coach. Texas hasn’t been great ATS, but I kind of like the fact that they’ve been grinding out victories and all they have to do is win by a bucket here. UConn rates out as a slightly better team, but they haven’t played a true road game and they’re 1-3 on neutral floors.
NUGGETS-Cavaliers under 195
The Cavs are going to swallow up the Nuggets on the defensive end and they aren’t an explosive offensive team themselves. Kyrie Irving is sitting this one out, so that statement rings even more true. It’s Cleveland’s fourth game in five nights and they’ve hit five straight unders. Mudiay, Gallo, and Nurkic are still out for the Nuggets.