Picks of the Day: CBB and NBA 1/29

4-3 yesterday. 16-12-1 on the week. In case you missed it on Twitter last night, I played LBSU -5.5 in the second half and that was added to the total.

Syracuse cruised for us. It was almost like the betting public didn’t realize Demetrius Jackson was out for Notre Dame. I went to go put my pick in for -3.5 and the line had gone down to -2.5 in a flash. Jackson is way too important for the Irish. They don’t have any depth whatsoever and they have a true freshman who hasn’t play all that much this year starting in his place. Keep an eye on Jackson’s status moving forward.

The Iowa lost stung. The second half was back and forth the whole way and they ended up losing by six after fouling down the stretch. The Hawkeyes just shot the ball really poorly. That has rarely been a problem for them all year. Maryland deserves some of the credit, but Iowa missed a lot of open jumpers that they’ve been hitting all year.

The Long Beach-UCSB game was obviously a big one for me as I ended up making three different plays on it. In case you went to bed early, Beach was up 29-20 with five minutes to play in the first half before giving up a 20-2 run to close the half and making the first half play a loser. They pressed the hell out of UCSB in the second half and they were in position to win in regulation, up 70-67 before they fouled a three-point shooter with a second left. UCSB hit all three free throws and we headed to overtime. I was now in position to lose all three plays. Fortunately the 49ers cruised in OT, not allowing a point and winning by 10, and I ended up taking two out of three. I mentioned that Vincent and Bryson might struggle from outside for UCSB and that turned out to be the case, as they went a combined 2-9 from deep. Vincent was a total non-factor.

CBB

VCU (-2) over DAVIDSON

Small road favorites are always dangerous to take, but the Rams are on a ten game winning streak and they’ve won on the road in conference three times already, including wins at St. Joseph’s and Richmond. Davidson is an inconsistent bunch and look no further than the fact that they lost to Saint Louis five days before winning at Richmond. VCU’s offense has been remarkably efficient in conference play and they get the majority of their points around the rim. Davidson has been really poor defending that in conference play, allowing opponents to shoot 55.2% on 2FG. If you stretched that percentage over the whole year, they’d come in at 343rd in the country. The Rams have been one of the best defensive teams in the country as well. Another reason I like VCU here is how well they’ve done against Jack Gibbs. Gibbs carries the Davidson offense. Last year in his three matchups with the Rams, he went 9-32 from the field, including 5-20 from deep. VCU is 11-6 ATS all year, while Davidson is 5-11-1 ATS.

NBA

PISTONS (+5) over Cavaliers

Pistons are 15-7 SU and 15-6-1 ATS at home. Cavs are just 9-12-1 ATS on the road. Cavs are in their fourth game since Tyronn Lue took over as head coach and this will be their first on the road. Earlier this year, the Cavs traveled to Detroit as 4.5 point favorites and lost by five.

TRAIL BLAZERS (-5.5) over Hornets

Hornets suck on the road. Blazers have been 6-2 SU and ATS at home in their last eight.


CBB YTD: 111-109-8 (50.5%)

NBA YTD: 56-36-1 (60.9%)

Total YTD: 167-145-9 (53.5%)

Above .500 days: 18

.500 days: 14

Below .500 days: 11

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