Picks of the Day: CBB 2/15

After going 2-11 on Wednesday (Bonnies), followed it up with 11-7 on Thursday, 2-1 on Friday, 14-16 on Saturday, and 8-3 yesterday.

Ultimately ended up being a losing week at 42-48. One Marcus Posley (83.5 FT%) made free throw from a winning week, but that’s the way shit goes.

As for Saturday, I was absolutely ecstatic with a 14-16 record. Wasn’t even mad about two half point losses. I just expect to lose my ass every Saturday and nearly going .500 is cause for celebration. Not gonna lie, I started drinking around 3 p.m. after a 2-9 start.

LEHIGH (-12) over Holy Cross

Lehigh is playing their best basketball of the season right now. I’d worry about them coming off a big win over Bucknell on the road and playing another big one on Wednesday, but this is a veteran group that was in a similar situation last week. They were on the road against a bad Lafayette team two days before that matchup with the Bison and took care of business. In the first matchup between these two, Lehigh won by 21 on the back of 56% shooting. That’s a replicable formula for the Mountain Hawks. They can stroke it from outside and Holy Cross is one of the worst team’s in the country defending the three. They’re not much better defending the interior. Lehigh’s D has been one of the best in Patriot League play. They’re susceptible on the perimeter with their zone defense, but Holy Cross is knocking down just 29% of their threes in league play.

Manhattan (+14) over MONMOUTH – 2 Units

For whatever reason, the Jaspers are a thorn in the side of the Hawks. Manhattan has won all five of the recent meetings between the two teams. Steve Masiello may not actually have a college degree, but that dude can coach. If you look at his five years as a head coach, his teams always get better as the season goes on. The Jaspers have gotten their last two wins over Monmouth as underdogs. I’m not calling an outright win here, but I think it’ll be a close game. They’ve consistently shot the ball well against the Hawks and have limited their turnovers, even though they’re a high volume turnover program. Monmouth is coming off that dramatic road win at Rider on Friday night. It wouldn’t be their first letdown game of the year.

New Mexico State (+15.5) over WICHITA STATE – 2 Units

As someone who’s lost four bets on Wichita recently, let me tell you how much their offense has been struggling lately. It’s been dog shit. They haven’t even been turning the ball over. They just don’t have much of an interior presence. They settle for too many jump shots, especially off the dribble. Baker and Van Vleet have been brutal in their last two losses, going a combined 6-29 from deep. That’s bad news with a NMSU team that can really guard. The Aggies are likely to win the WAC, which isn’t what it used to be, but they’re a young team that’s built up a lot of confidence in conference play. Pascal Siakam is up there with Egidijus Mockevicius and Jameel Warney in the rankings of guys most college basketball fans have no idea about, but put up 20-10s on a regular basis.

CBB YTD: 185-174-9 (51.5%)

NBA YTD: 72-59-1 (55.0%)

Total YTD: 257-233-10 (52.4%)

Above .500 days: 27

.500 days: 16

Below .500 days: 16


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