Week 5 CFB Picks

7-4 last week. Only loss was the one with the highest units, so beware of the Wake pick this week.

PITTSBURGH (-16) over Marshall – 2u
PITTSBURGH-Marshall over 66 – 3u

I still love Pittsburgh, even after coming off a couple of tough road losses. They blew that one at UNC last week (still covered), but getting Marshall at home for a night game is a nice way to get a bounce back. I love watching the Panthers play offense and I’d expect them to rack up 50+ against Marshall’s dreadful D. The Herd get QB Chase Litton back this week. They’re 3-0 on overs this year.

PENN STATE (-2.5) over Minnesota – 2u

I’d consider Penn State a slightly better team to begin with. Add on top of that it’s Minnesota’s first road game after unimpressively beating three subpar teams at home to start the season and the myriad of injuries and suspensions that they have. The Nittany Lions got smoked last week against Michigan, which was really just another example of the difference between the top 4 teams in the league and the rest.

CLEMSON (+2) over Louisville – 3u

I am willing to die on the Louisville hill. If they go into Death Valley and win a night game, I will never bet against Lamar Jackson in any form or fashion ever again.

OKLAHOMA STATE (-2) over Texas – 2u

I still believe.

Wake Forest (+12) over NC STATE – 4u

Ridiculous line. I feel like I’m missing something. I didn’t have high expectations for either team heading into the year, but the Deacs are 4-0 with road wins at Duke and Indiana. Not exactly the elites of college football, but it’s certainly more impressive of an abbreviated resume over one with wins over William & Mary and Old Dominion and a loss at East Carolina.

SOUTH CAROLINA (+18) over Texas A&M – 2u

I’m heavily invested in the Aggies, but this game makes me nervous for some reason. South Carolina isn’t good by any standards, but they play ugly game after ugly game. We haven’t seen A&M play poorly yet, and I’ve got a feeling it’s this week while they look ahead to Tennessee next week.

Michigan State (-6.5) over INDIANA – 2u

MSU has beat IU seven straight times, by an average of 24.7 ppg. The over has hit 8 straight times, btw.

Season: 33-25-4 (56.9%)

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