Georgia Southern (-1.5) over FIU
Bad matchup for FIU, which has been a common theme for them this season. They’re 1-7 against D-1 opponents with their only win coming against Binghamton at home. GSU’s zone will force them to hit shots from the perimeter. They’re only making 28% of their threes so far this season.
Southern plays nine guys, so I’m not particularly worried that they played two days ago. Ike Smith is a big-time scorer and for a guy with such a high usage rate, he doesn’t turn the ball over very much. I’d expect the Eagles to get a few more possessions based on the turnover difference. If they do a good job on the glass, they could win this game by double digits.
Coastal Carolina (+11.5) over AUBURN
The Tigers are down two starters with the suspensions of Horace Spencer and Bryce Brown, who have been two of the team’s better defenders. Spencer just had six blocks the other night against BC. Auburn typically plays 9ish guys, so it’ll be interesting to see what Bruce Pearl does with the rotation, especially given the pace they play. LaRon Smith will seemingly get the bulk of the minutes at the 5, but he’s been going after every shot close to him this year. While he’s blocked a lot of shots, he’s also picked up fouls quickly. TJ Dunans was sick and missed the BC game. I’m sure he’ll be back, but in what condititon. TJ Lang had to leave the second half of that game because of a knee injury.
Matchup wise, it’s likely that AU will generate quite a few turnovers like they always do, but it’s also like CC will win the battle of the glass. Defensively, the Chanticleers run a lot of zone and different zones at that. I think that could frustrate an inexperienced Auburn team that’s most (only?) effective offense is on the fast break. If CC keeps Danjel Purifoy from getting too hot and keeps Mustapha Heron off the line, they’ll have a chance to win.
Season: 6-5 (54.5%)