SMU (-7) over Stanford – 2u
SMU’s defense makes you beat them with perimeter shots. Begs you don’t to launch from out there. That’s not good for Stanford. They’re one of the most unwilling teams to shoot and that’s because they’re aware they stink at it. Their 3PA% is 348th out of 351 and their 3P% is 321st. Many times their best offense is having Reid Travis go and try to get fouled.
The Cardinal D is solid, but not really outstanding in any phase. Their DefEff looks good because they rebound well on that end. They’re going to have to be exceptional against the Mustangs because they’ve got three guys who are relentless on the offensive glass.
COLORADO ST. (-7.5) over Loyola Marymount
Just repeat the general gist of the first paragraph of the SMU game and it’s pretty much the same. In this case CSU is SMU and LMU is Stanford.
Offensively, you worry about the turnovers for the Rams, but Gian Clavell is back and you’d expect him to really help the issue. What will also help is the possible 35 free throw attempts.
MILWAUKEE (+8) over Belmont
Belmont is again a ridiculously high-volume three-point shooting team. However, this year they’ve been very inconsistent, especially on the road. Milwaukee has typically been a pretty tough out at home and I’d expect them to respond positively after a horrible outing against Western Illinois Saturday.
GREEN BAY (-14) over SIU-Edwardsville
The electric pace that the Phoenix play at is only going to further expose SIUE having their biggest playmaker – Tre Harris – out of the lineup. The early returns without him were a 14-point loss at Saint Louis, who’s currently recruiting at 50x the level their current on-court product is playing at. Should be a good day for guys like Charles Cooper and Kerem Kanter (Enes’ brother) against the Panthers swiss cheese interior defense.
Season: 12-14 (46.2%)