INDIANA STATE (+11) over Wichita State
I’ve mentioned before how consistently inconsistent the Sycamores have been for years now, so take this for what it’s worth. One thing ISU has done well this year is play well in big games. In the A+B games that KenPom indicates, ISU is 2-4. The only game they really played poorly was at Valpo. Otherwise they had wins over Butler and at Utah State and three losses against Iowa State and Stanford on a neutral floor and at Northern Illinois in overtime. Those three losses were by a combined seven points.
It looked like the Shockers weren’t gonna miss a beat with Baker and VanVleet gone, but the ass kicking they received at home at the hands of Oklahoma State seemed to indicate otherwise. It’s just their second time in a true road game this year. They ended up winning by 15 at Colorado State, but that game was much closer throughout. That 15-point lead was the biggest they had all game.
I’ll be honest, there’s not a ton of matchup stuff that makes sense for the Sycamores, but nothing they ever do really makes sense to me.
Central Florida (-6.5) over TULANE
Tulane is pretty bad. Shockingly the washed-up NBA coach that hasn’t coached for six years hasn’t turned around a mid-major program and has actually seemingly made it much worse.
UCF still isn’t the team it was without BJ Taylor, but their defense is still fantastic in the half court. That’s the key for them, keeping this game in the half court. Tulane’s best chance of scoring is getting out in transition. Offensively, the Knights aren’t great, but they’ll be able to score enough with Tacko Fall down low and Matt Williams should have some open looks from outside.
Georgetown (+6) over MARQUETTE
The Hoyas got off to a rough start again this year, but I like a lot about this team. They’re starting to settle into their rotation more Derrickson back from injury and Govan becoming more and more consistent down low. Peak and Pryor have both been really efficient on the wing. I don’t see Marquette doing a great job slowing down their offense very much. The biggest issue for the Hoyas will be turnovers, but they’ve done a better job of that recently. Jagan Mosely had a terrible outing against Oklahoma St. in Maui and it’s skewed his turnover numbers, but he’s been solid lately with only five in the past six games.
The Hoyas biggest problem defensively has been keeping teams off the glass for second-chance looks. If they can keep Fischer from having a field day there, they’ll be in a great spot to win. Best defense for Fischer might be getting him in foul trouble on the other end.
Season: 25-19 (56.8%)