CBB Picks: 12/29

OLD DOMINION (-5.5) over William & Mary

From six days ago:

RHODE ISLAND (-9.5) over William & Mary

The Tribe have been terrible on the road. They’re 0-4 with a pair of 10-point losses to Hampton and CMU. That’s the only D-1 win so far for Hampton. They’ve blown out a few bad teams at home, but nothing that makes you think they’re going to have a chance to beat a Top 25-caliber Rams team.

URI is still without Hassan Martin, but they’ve managed without him. Cyril Langevine has stepped in with Martin being out. He can’t match the offensive production, but he’s done a good job rebounding and blocking shots. They’ll be able to score fairly easily against W&M’s poor defense and they might only have like six turnovers. Rams will give the Tribe nothing from outside.

They didn’t cover that one either. That’s still Hampton’s only D-1 win. ODU is one of the best defensive teams in the country. The Monarchs aren’t great offensively, but they’ve played a tough schedule and have managed 7-4, including taking Louisville to OT.

Loyola Chicago (-5.5) over DRAKE

Loyola has been a pleasant surprise this year. They’re only 1-2 on the road, but those two losses were by a combined six points against NC State and Toledo.

Drake is coming off their first D-1 win of the season, but I’m not sure MVSU really counts because they’re winless and only come within double-digits once all season.

Drake’s not really good at any one thing. They force some turnovers, but they give them up at the same rate and that’s one of the advantages the Ramblers have had over teams all year. Loyola has been killing people in the paint and I’d expect that to continue tonight. Their biggest weakness is that they’re a terrible rebounding team, but Drake isn’t much better.

San Diego (+11) over SAN FRANCISCO

USF is coming off a great showing in Hawaii over the holiday. They beat Utah and Illinois State before going ice cold against San Diego St. in the final. Focus would have to be a concern for a team that got two of the program’s best wins over the past few years, while also coming back from Hawaii and tossing in the holidays for good measure.

It’s not going to help that San Diego is great at limiting teams that shoot from the perimeter and the Dons are so reliant on three-pointers. Since getting trounced at home by USC, the Toreros are on a five-game winning streak, including their last two on the road.

Season: 27-20 (57.4%)


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