TOWSON (+3) over UNC Wilmington
Towson’s strengths offensively matchup perfectly with UNCW’s weaknesses on defense. If they don’t turn it over too much, they’ll have a big day. Defensively, the Tigers force teams to beat them from the outside and the free throw line and shooting isn’t usually a strength of the Seahawks.
Marshall (-4) over FIU
Marshall is lethal when they get going from three-point land and it’s set up well for them against FIU’s poor perimeter defense. FIU will score some points inside (most do against the Herd), but they don’t have a single good shooter on their team. They haven’t beaten anyone that’s remotely quality this year and they’ve played a bad schedule.
AIR FORCE (-2) over Utah State
It’s probably going to turn into a shooting contest and the Falcons are the 5th best three-point shooting team in the country. Utah State is 209th.
Louisiana Lafayette (+2.5) over ARKANSAS STATE
The Cajuns will be fine against the Wolves pressure and content to shoot a ton of free free throws. They should win the rebounding battle by a lot and the turnovers as well, which should give them a lot of extra possessions.
MONMOUTH (-13.5) over Rider
Rider is really going to struggle scoring in the halfcourt. Monmouth forces you to beat them from the outside and Rider is inept in that area. The Hawks will make this happen if they’re able to force enough turnovers, get some long rebounds and get out in transition on offense.
Season: 29-24 (54.7%)