HOFSTRA (-3.5) over William & Mary
The Tribe are on the road again. This one should be a shooting contest. Both teams like to let it fly and both give up a lot of three-point attempts. Hofstra has been the better shooting team this year by a wide margin and also have the advantage of shooting at home. In addition, they’ll be able to eat on the offensive glass against the Tribe’s zone.
North Texas (+13) over OLD DOMINION
Thirteen is a pretty big number for a game that’s going to have a really slow tempo and the team giving 13 is borderline inept on offense. The Monarchs play great defense, but their season high in points scored is 65. It’s not gonna be easy for the Mean Green to score, but if they can force some turnovers and get in transition, they’ll be able to keep up.
UNC WILMINGTON (-12) over Elon
Great matchup for the Seahawks. Elon is heavily reliant on three-point shooting. UNCW gives up the lowest percentage of points from three-point land in the country. Their pressure also turns people over. The way you can make them pay is at the free throw line and Elon only shoots 64% as a team. The Hawks might only turn the ball over like five or six times today with the lack of Elon pressure at the other end. It’s a big number, but Elon and Radford share some similarities in their styles and UNCW beat Radford by 36. Radford also beat Elon by 12 FWIW, which isn’t that much really.
Western Kentucky (-2) over FIU
The Hilltoppers were only bound to improve as the season goes on with all of their transfers and their lack of health at the start of the season. They’ve won three in a row now. They’ll force the Panthers to make shots from outside and the numbers suggest that FIU can’t do it.
Season: 33-28 (54.1%)