TENNESSEE (-2.5) over Arkansas – 2u
To me, the Vols are one of the most undervalued teams in the country right now. They’re really young and really undersized, but they’ve played some really good teams closely and they’re coming off road wins at ETSU and Texas A&M. Despite their lack of size, they’re relentless on the offensive glass and they’re pretty good at protecting the rim, which minimizes the concern you have going against Moses Kingsley
The Hogs have played one true road game and they lost by 14 at Minnesota. They’re fine, but they haven’t played a tough schedule. Their best win is against Houston at home. Florida is the only team they’ve played that’s a lock for the tournament and the Gators rolled over them in Fayetteville. If the Vols win the turnover battle, they’ll win this game.
INDIANA (+1.5) over Wisconsin
The best remedy for a struggling Hoosier team is always a big-time night game in Assembly Hall where they can use their crowd as fuel. It’ll also help that you can shoot well from three on the Badgers. Also, Wisconsin is pretty average at turning people over and they aren’t the team that’s going to punish IU for their carelessness with the ball. On the other end, Bryant, Anunoby, and Morgan will provide enough rim protection to make things difficult on Happ and Hayes down low. McSwain is another guy that could help the Hoosiers in that area, provided he remembers to put on his jersey this time.
Wisconsin’s record looks nice, but they still don’t have a signature win and I don’t see it happening tonight either.
UCF (-10.5) over East Carolina
It will be a minor miracle if East Carolina scores 50 points.
TCU (-10.5) over Oklahoma
The Sooners are fairly mediocre at full strength. Without Jordan Woodard, they’re the worst team in the Big 12. The Horned Frogs have been steady at home all year and – even in a loss – looked like a legitimate NCAA Tournament team against Kansas. The Sooners best option to win this game would probably be making a lot of threes, which is where a 42% three-point shooter (Woodard) would really come in handy. The Frogs will do their usual work at the other end on the offensive glass and at the free throw line and they should get some additional open looks against OU’s perimeter defense, who are once again even worse without Woodard.
Season: 36-29 (55.4%)