CBB Picks: 1/24

5-4 on Saturday. I think moving forward, I’m just going to stick with the early evening/night games on Saturdays. I’m sorry to those who require getting their fix by noon.

PITTSBURGH (+6) over Louisville

Desperate times for the Panthers. They’re now 1-5 in the ACC and on the borderline of being a tournament team right now. They need to sweep their two games at home this week before they go at UNC and Duke next week.

I picked Louisville last time these two matched up at the Yum Center. The line was Louisville -11. My reasoning:

The Cards have the length to make life difficult on Young and Artis for the Panthers, which was true in both of their meetings last year. On the other end, Donovan Mitchell has been hot lately and Quentin Snider should be able to get things started with dribble penetration against a shaky Panther defense

It was looking great when the Cards were up 26. Then, that length stopped working against Artis. He scored roughly 1,000 points in the second half and Louisville won by 5.

Snider did in fact have a great game. He’s not playing this time around. His absence along with the situation for Pittsburgh makes me lean the Panthers way.

MICHIGAN STATE (+2) over Purdue

Another team that’s not comfortably in the tournament. It’s a great opportunity for the Spartans to pick up a significant victory and they’ve been much better at home, while Purdue has been very shaky on the road. I’d expect the Izzone to come with their best with Caleb Swanigan making his first and probably only trip to East Lansing after he originally committed to MSU. The bigs are obviously the marquee matchup here, but I feel like Purdue might have the hardest time containing Winston and Nairn.

And, yes, in an ideal world I hope Purdue wins by one point.

Duquesne (+13) over DAVIDSON

Davidson still hasn’t reached the level I think a lot of people expected them to get to this season and it’s mainly due to their inconsistency on defense. 13 points is a lot for a team that lost to Fordham at home a couple of weeks ago. Duquesne gets out on shooters fairly well and that’s obviously a big key when you’re facing the Bobcats.

HOUSTON (-16) over Tulane

The Cougars are coming off a tough three-game stretch, in which they lost all three games. No better way to get back on track than getting the tomato can that is Tulane at home. The one good thing the Green Wave do defensively is force turnovers, but nobody is better in the AAC at taking care of the ball than UH. Should be a big day for the Cougar shooters.

Season: 83-78-1 (51.6%)

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