PENN STATE (-2.5) over Illinois – 2u
I think you have to keep betting against the Illini on the road until they prove they can be remotely competitive. Penn State is coming off a tough three game stretch that saw them lose on a buzzer beater against IU, followed up by road games at Wisconsin and Purdue. They’re the much better defensive team in this game and they’ve got multiple options to throw at Hill. Mike Watkins should be able to neutralize the hot streak Maverick Morgan has been on.
WYOMING (-1) over Boise State
Boise got off to a hot start in MW play, but they’ve faded defensively recently. Wyoming has been a tough out in Laramie all year, only dropping one to Nevada. Both teams might struggle to get open looks outside, but I think you have to like Wyoming’s chances of getting it going more given the home court advantage. Justin James should be able to slow down Hutchison a bit.
MARSHALL (-12.5) over UTEP
Basically everything I said Thursday about Marshall against UTSA on Thursday.
NORTHEASTERN (-2.5) over Towson
Northeastern has to win again at some point. Towson’s offense has been really good the last five games, but they’re reliant on second chance points and free throws, two things the Huskies do a good job of limiting.
UCONN (-11.5) over Tulane
It hasn’t been a good year for the Huskies – to put it mildly – but one thing they’ve done well in AAC play is taking care of the opponents they should and Tulane is trash, soooo. Biggest key for UConn is limiting turnovers, which has been a bit of an issue at times.
Southern Miss (+16) over UAB
Never been so in love with a 6-14 team, but they’re a money making machine right now. I like that UAB is coming off a big win two nights ago over La Tech. No need to get up for little old Southern Miss, they’ll just take their 12 point loss and be on their way.
ULL (-9) over Little Rock
The Cajuns have been slumping, but I like the spot here. They’re coming off an embarrassing outing at Arlington, they’ve had since Monday to get ready, and they get a UALR team that’s struggled on the road and the Cajuns should have a lot of confidence against them considering they already won by 17 at Little Rock. Lis Shoshi has missed the last three for the Trojans. If he can’t go again, that’s a major advantage for ULL on the boards. Even still, I’d hardly expect Shoshi to be 100%.
BYU (-11) over Loyola Marymount – 2u
BYU has played 12 games at home. They are 11-1 in those games. That loss was the only game they haven’t won by at least nine points. They already won this matchup in LA. Ever since Mike Dunlap took over at LMU, Dave Rose has carried him around in his back pocket. Cougs haven’t lost back-to-back WCC games in two years.