10* NAVY (-13.5) over Tulane
Navy looked like the same old Navy in Week 1 against FAU on the road. Tulane opened up strong with a 43-14 win over Grambling State at home, but I’m gonna need to see a bit more evidence that the Green Wave will be any better this year. Navy rolls at home.
9* WEST VIRGINIA (-24) over East Carolina
James Madison isn’t your average FCS opponent, but still, they waxed ECU by 20 last week. That further confirmed that the Pirates are indeed going to be garbage this year. WVU lost a tight one to Virginia Tech, but the 592 yards of total offense is a good sign for this week against the porous ECU defense.
8* ARKANSAS STATE (+14.5) over Miami (FL) CANCELLED
Miami didn’t exactly light things up against Bethune Cookman. They’ll have to be A LOT sharper to cover the spread this week. ASU was closing in on a potential upset over Nebraska in Lincoln to start the year. The Red Wolves have a had a good program for a number of years now and they’ll be confident with the Canes coming to town.
8* TULSA-UL-Lafayette over 64
Tried to get cute and take a Tulsa under last week. Never again. For their part, the Ragin’ Cajuns had a 99-point total against SE Louisiana.
7* KANSAS-Central Michigan under 56
The Jayhawk offense is improved, but that’s saying very little. It took CMU three overtimes to put up 30 on a terrible Rhode Island team.
6* UTSA (+17) over BAYLOR
Baylor clearly still has a lot to get figured out and UTSA was a much-improved team a year ago. The Roadrunners had their Week 1 game postponed, so they should be rearing to go.
5* Marshall (+24) over NC STATE
I’ll stick again with the Thundering Herd this week. A lot of preseason hype for the Pack, but the loss to South Carolina shows that maybe, just maybe they’re not ready to run the table yet.
4* Stanford (+7) over USC
Not gonna look it up, but it feels like Stanford beats USC every time they play.
3* Western Michigan (+7.5) over MICHIGAN STATE
It appears the Broncos might still be pretty good. MSU handled Bowling Green just fine in the opener, but I’m not sure they have that big of a talent advantage in this one.
2* MICHIGAN (-34) over Cincinnati
The Bearcats didn’t exactly destroy Austin Peay in Luke Fickell’s debut. Feels like Cincy is set up for one of those games where Jim Harbaugh does everything in his power to beat you 100-0.
1* San Diego State (+4) over ARIZONA STATE
Money Line Parlay of the Week
Minnesota, TCU, Ohio State – +365
On the riskier side, but I think it’s wild that anyone can have watched Oregon State’s performances in the first two weeks of the season and think they should be favored over any above average team. I obviously like TCU this season. Feels like there’s no way Lincoln Riley leads a team into Urban Meyer’s house and wins.
Teaser of the Week
Ohio State (-0.5), Notre Dame (+1), Duke (+10.5) — +150
I don’t see Jake Fromm winning his first career start in South Bend. Considered taking Duke outright this week.
Not Actually Betting, But Sides I’d Take With A Hypothetical Gun To My Head
DUKE (+3) over Northwestern
UCONN-USF under 68
UNC-Louisville over 63
UAB (+14) over BALL STATE
ALABAMA-Fresno State under 54
ILLINOIS (+8.5) over Western Kentucky
TCU (-3) over ARKANSAS
Minnesota (ML) over OREGON STATE
Picks W-L: 5-5 (50.0%)
Confidence Points: 20 (of 55)
Parlays: 0-1 (-100)
Teasers: 0-1 (-100)