Rhode Island (-10.5) over UMASS
The Minutemen looked to have some life winning three A-10 games in a row. All of that momentum was snatched away by the Rams a couple of weeks in a game where Rhody got a big lead early and never wavered. UMass has now lost four straight. The Minutemen just aren’t really equipped to handle Rhody’s pressure, they’ve been terrible from the free throw line lately so they can’t capitalize on the fouls that will inevitably rack up, and the Rams won’t let UMass get their perimeter shooting going. Rhody is getting everybody’s best shot, but I’d expect them to be ready to go after a scare against Duquesne this past weekend.
North Carolina (pick) over CLEMSON
The Tigers can may hang around for a game or two or three before they really start to feel Donte Grantham’s absence, but it’s coming. And this particular game, his absence will really hurt them on both ends of the floor. Offensively, the way to make UNC pay is from the perimeter. Grantham is a 42% three-point shooter. On the other end, you absolutely have to keep the Heels off the glass. Grantham was one of their most productive rebounders at 6.9 per game.
TOLEDO (-8) over Ball State
Toledo and Buffalo are a cut (two cuts?) above everyone else in the MAC. It’s never a bad idea to lay the points with either team. Especially at home for the Rockets where they’ll be very comfortable. They’re one of the elite shooting teams in the country and Ball State gives up a ton from the outside. Not sure the Cardinals can stay in front of the Rockets if they stick to man, either.
YTD: 48-41-1 (+3.1u)