2019 American Tournament Betting Preview

THE FORMAT

All 12 teams make the field, Top 4 get byes. Games are all played on Memphis’ home floor. Games start on Thursday and end Sunday.

First round is on ESPNU. Second round is on ESPN2 and ESPNU. Semis on ESPN2. Final on ESPN.

THE BRACKET

THE ODDS

Favorite

Houston +105

Other Contenders

Cincinnati +220

UCF +450

Temple +600

Memphis +800

Darkhorse Candidates

Wichita State +1700

UConn +5000

SMU +5000

Tulsa +6000

USF +6000

Unfortunately Irrelevant

Tulane +10000

East Carolina +30000

WHO TO BACK

NCAA Bracket Maximizer

Excluded: Houston, Cincinnati, UCF 

Temple is the closest right now to making the field and that would be a fun story with it being Fran Dunphy’s last year. The Owls have some talented guys and I can’t hate on them.

But it’s hard not to back Memphis here. The Penny factor is huge. Not just because he’s Penny Hardaway, but the resentment he seems to elicit from fellow coaches kinda makes me pull for the guy because most coaches kinda seem like assholes, if we’re being honest. The Tigers also never stop running, are always on the attack, and play with a bit of reckless abandon out there. Is it the purest form of basketball? Not really, but it’s entertaining as hell.

Best Bet

Wichita State +1700

I mean, it’s just staring you right in the face, isn’t it? The Shockers have had a down year like they were expected to after all they lost last year. But it’s starting to turn around. They’ve won 9 of their last 11, only dropping a close game at home to Memphis and a road game at Cincinnati. The team can’t shoot to save its life, but they’ve saved themselves by getting second-chance opportunities and taking care of the ball.

The draw sets up pretty nicely for them. They can only play one of the favorite (Houston) or the home team (Memphis). Their first round game should be no problem with ECU. They lost their only matchup with Temple, but that was back in early January. The season started to turn around a month later. Cinci would be a tough matchup in the semis, but the Bearcats have not been playing their best basketball at the end of the season. The Shockers have had convincing victories over both SMU and Tulsa recently.

It’s his worst team in a while, but Gregg Marshall has proven himself to be one of the best coaches in the country and he’s accomplished a lot in March, especially at a mid-major program. Put a small amount on it and let it ride.

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