Picks of the Day: CBB 3/6

14-14 yesterday.



EAST CAROLINA (+5) over Memphis

UNC Wilmington (-2.5) over Northeastern – 2 Units

Western Carolina (+8) over Chattanooga – 2 Units

PURDUE (-3) over Wisconsin – First Half

CBB YTD: 276-254-15 (52.1%)

NBA YTD: 93-81-1 (53.4%)

Total YTD: 369-335-16 (52.4%)

Above .500 days: 32

.500 days: 20

Below .500 days: 23


Picks of the Day: CBB and NBA 3/5

10-11 yesterday. 36-32-1 on the week. Obviously the big loser was Illinois State.

That’s what I had to say about the Redbirds only being favored by 4. Should’ve trusted my instincts.

Went 1-1 in 2H plays. Missed on Illinois State -5.5 and hit on Northern Iowa -4.


NOTRE DAME (-8.5) over NC State

BOSTON COLLEGE (+10) over Clemson

DEPAUL (+8.5) over Seton Hall

FAU (+11) over UAB

Cleveland State (+6) over Green Bay – First Half

ST. JOHN’S (+9.5) over Providence

RICE (+4.5) over Old Dominion

Western Carolina (+3) over Wofford – 2 Units

UTEP (-8) over UTSA – First Half

Santa Clara (+15) over BYU

Stanford (+8.5) over ARIZONA – First Half

LOUISIANA MONROE (-5) over Georgia State – 2 Units

Wright State (-7) over UIC – First Half

Middle Tennessee (-1.5) over FIU – First Half

UNC Wilmington (-2.5) over Charleston – First Half – 2 Units
UNC Wilmington (-4.5) over Charleston

East Tennessee State (-2) over Mercer – 3 Units

Pepperdine (-2) over San Francisco – First Half

South Dakota (+5) over IPFW

SAINT LOUIS (+6.5) over St. Bonaventure

Troy (+14.5) over UT ARLINGTON 8:15 pm

Northern Colorado (+15) over MONTANA 9 pm


Nets (+3) over TIMBERWOLVES – First Half

CBB YTD: 262-241-15 (52.1%)

NBA YTD: 93-80-1 (53.8%)

Total YTD: 355-321-16 (52.5%)

Above .500 days: 32

.500 days: 19

Below .500 days: 23

Picks of the Day: CBB and NBA 3/4

7-10-1 yesterday. 26-21-1 for the week. Only 2H play was Penn State -2.5.

I stated this past Sunday that I wasn’t going to complain all week because Greensboro pulled a cover out of their ass for me. So I’m going to stick to that. I’ll just state facts.

The facts of the matter:

  • Missouri St. (-2) was up two with four seconds left
  • Chris Kendrix was at the line shooting two free throws
  • Chris Kendrix is an 81.6% free throw shooter
  • Chris Kendrix missed both free throws
  • I pushed

That’s all. On to today.


Northern Iowa (-3) over Southern Illinois – First Half

Presbyterian (+7.5) over Winthrop – First Half

AKRON (-4) over Kent State – First Half

MIAMI (OH) (+3) over Ohio – 2 Units

TOLEDO (-8.5) over Eastern Michigan

Rider (+5) over Monmouth – First Half

Belmont (-5.5) over Austin Peay – First Half

Gardner Webb (+5) over Coastal Carolina

Illinois State (-4) over Indiana State – 3 Units

Morehead State (-4.5) over UT Martin


MAGIC (-8) over Suns – First Half
MAGIC (-13.5) over Suns

Heat (-8) over 76ERS

HORNETS (-2.5) over Pacers

GRIZZLIES (+1.5) over Jazz

Nets (+3) over NUGGETS – First Half

CBB YTD: 256-232-15 (52.5%)

NBA YTD: 89-78-1 (53.3%)

Total YTD: 345-310-16 (52.7%)

Above .500 days: 32

.500 days: 19

Below .500 days: 22

Picks of the Day: CBB and NBA 3/3

8-7 yesterday. 19-11 on the week.

Three 2H plays yesterday:

SJSU +7  – W
UCLA +3.5 – L
CSUF +4 – W


Illinois (+9) over MARYLAND – First Half – 2 Units
Illinois (+15.5) over MARYLAND

FIU (+6) over UAB

Louisiana Tech (+6) over MARSHALL

Little Rock (-5.5) over APPALACHIAN STATE – First Half

LOUISIANA-MONROE (-4.5) over Georgia Southern – First Half
LOUISIANA-MONROE (-8.5) over Georgia Southern

Troy (+4) over TEXAS STATE – First Half

PENN STATE (+2) over Northwestern

Cal (+3.5) over ARIZONA – First Half

Missouri State (-2) over Drake

Northern Arizona (+11.5) over PORTLAND STATE

Hawaii (-4) over UC DAVIS – First Half


HEAT (-8) over Suns – First Half
HEAT (-13.5) over Suns

Spurs (-4.5) over PELICANS – First Half

CBB YTD: 251-223-14 (53.0%)

NBA YTD: 87-77-1 (53.0%)

Total YTD: 338-300-15 (53.0%)

Above .500 days: 32

.500 days: 19

Below .500 days: 21

Picks of the Day: CBB and NBA 3/2

9-2 yesterday. 11-4 on the week. The only 2H I played was Stetson +10.


Fordham (+4.5) over DUQUESNE

Austin Peay (+4) over Tennessee Tech

Texas Tech (+10) over WEST VIRGINIA

Saint Louis (+1) over LA SALLE

TCU (+10.5) over KANSAS STATE

MINNESOTA (+6) over Wisconsin – First Half

San Jose St. (+5.5) over WYOMING – First Half

Murray State (-3.5) over Eastern Illinois – First Half

Oregon State (+5.5) over USC

Washington State (+12) over WASHINGTON


MAGIC (-4) over Bulls

76ERS (+8.5) over Hornets

CBB YTD: 244-217-14 (52.9%)

NBA YTD: 86-76-1 (53.1%)

Total YTD: 330-293-15 (53.0%)

Above .500 days: 31

.500 days: 19

Below .500 days: 21

Picks of the Day: CBB and NBA 3/1

2-2 yesterday. 1-1 on the 2H plays. I don’t have time to write today, so you’re all spared.


Miami (OH) (+10.5) over BUFFALO

Lafayette (+10.5) over NAVY

USC Upstate (+8.5) over NORTH FLORIDA – First Half

Georgia Tech (+12.5) over LOUISVILLE

ARKANSAS LITTLE ROCK-Arkansas St. under 137

Indiana (+5) over IOWA

Utah State (-4) over AIR FORCE

San Diego St. (-1) over NEW MEXICO


HORNETS (-7) over Suns – First Half

Nets (+0.5) over LAKERS – First Half

CBB YTD: 236-216-14 (52.2%)

NBA YTD: 85-75-1 (53.1%)

Total YTD: 321-291-15 (52.5%)

Above .500 days: 30

.500 days: 19

Below .500 days: 21

Picks of the Day: CBB and NBA 2/29

Yesterday was an absolute dream between the basketball, golf, and Oscar plays. We’re now back in the black in all phases. Let’s keep it going.


IOWA STATE (-14) over Oklahoma State

OSU’s leading scorer Jawun Evans was officially ruled out for the season this past week. Since he’s been gone, the Cowboys are 1-6 with their only win being in overtime over Kansas State at home and they’ve fallen 33 spots in the KenPom rankings. Their first game after the injury was a loss at home to the Cyclones by five. Jameel McKay didn’t play in that one for ISU either. The Cowboys have lost four straight by double digits. Their last two on the road have been by 27 and 22 to Kansas and Oklahoma. The team doesn’t have any hopes for making any sort of postseason and there’s a lot of talk about Travis Ford being fired.

Iowa State has won six straight in the series and covered seven of eight. It’s senior night in Hilton for Niang, Nader, McKay, and the injured Naz Long. They Cyclones have won five straight on senior night and covered six straight. They’ve gone 12-1-1 ATS on senior night since 2001.


Nets (+7.5) over CLIPPERS – First Half

Nets first half margin: -2.5
Nets second half margin: -4

Clippers first half margin: 1.8
Clippers second half margin: 2.5

I liked the game line, but after looking at it deeper there’s more value in the first half line. The Clippers are so bad (relatively) in the second quarter because their bench stinks and it’s been worse since Austin Rivers has been out. He’s not supposed to be back until Wednesday.

CBB YTD: 236-214-14 (52.4%)

NBA YTD: 83-75-1 (52.5%)

Total YTD: 319-289-15 (52.5%)

Above .500 days: 30

.500 days: 18

Below .500 days: 21

Picks of the Day: CBB and NBA 2/28


MICHIGAN STATE (-10) over Penn State – 1st Half
MICHIGAN STATE-Penn State over 64 – 1st Half

UCONN (-5.5) over Houston – 1st Half

UNC GREENSBORO (-2) over Mercer – 1st Half
UNC GREENSBORO (-3.5) over Mercer – 3 units

GREEN BAY (+5.5) over Valparaiso

Iowa (-4) over OHIO STATE

IONA (-12) over Canisius

COLORADO (-6) over Arizona State – 2 units

Niagara (+17) over MONMOUTH


WIZARDS (+6.5) over Cavaliers

CBB YTD: 226-210-14 (51.8%)

NBA YTD: 81-75-1 (51.9%)

Total YTD: 307-285-15 (51.9%)

Above .500 days: 29

.500 days: 18

Below .500 days: 21

Picks of the Day: CBB and NBA 2/24

Ended up 6-6 for the day. 8-9 for the week. Originally I had given myself an extra loss in the blog yesterday. None of you dickheads helped me out, so thanks for nothing.

One in-game yesterday: Nuggets-Kings O107 2H

Thanks to both of them for being bad at defense.


Northwestern (+7) over MICHIGAN

Something like 90% of the tickets have been on the Michigan side and the line hasn’t moved. Outside of that, Michigan’s a little overvalued. They haven’t played very good basketball in February. They’re 2-4. They got blown out twice at home and they weren’t all that competitive last week playing Ohio State – an NIT team that has one quality win in nine tries all year. They got a win over Purdue at home that the Boilers basically gifted to them by blowing shots at the rim and carelessly turning the ball over late. They live and die by the three and they’ve been dying a lot lately. Northwestern isn’t great, but they’ve played pretty well over the last few games. They’re still pushing for an NIT spot – which is important if you’re Northwestern. Last year these teams split the series and the Wildcats only lost by two in Ann Arbor and that was before Caris LeVert and Derrick Walton were lost for the year and their season went completely off the rails.

Villanova (-1) over XAVIER

I don’t love Nova long-term, but it’s hard for me to stare the history of their series with X in the face and not jump on basically a pick ’em game. Since X joined the Big East a couple of years ago, Nova’s beaten them six straight times and five of those have been by double digits. They won earlier this year by 31. One of the reasons I don’t like Nova when it comes to the tournament is how often they shoot it from deep. But the games between these two have often turned into a three-point contest and Nova has knocked down more at a higher percentage every time. Xavier’s good, but the best team they’ve beaten all year is someone in the Dayton, Providence, USC realm. Nova’s resume isn’t much better in terms of big wins, but their biggest was this X team by a million. X has been good at home, but certainly not unbeatable. And yes, I know Sumner went down early in the last game. That whole thing is a bit overplayed. Sorry I don’t think losing a guy who shoots a worse percentage from the field, three, and free throw line than the team as a whole does is going to make THAT much of a difference. The team has a better O-Rating when he’s not on the floor and he’s a point guard that doesn’t lead his team in assists. Sue me.

Siena (-3.5) over FAIRFIELD

I bet on the Fighting Patsos to take down Iona on Monday and laid out my case for the Saints then. They got down 25 early before coming all the way back to take the lead late and ultimately dropping it.  I still like them here against a Fairfield team that’s gotten a five game win streak against the bottom half of the MAAC.

NORTHERN IOWA (-10) over Indiana State

UNI has reestablished their dominance at home lately and ISU has lost five straight and gotten trucked the last two games. Their offense has hit the skids with 0.74 and 0.72 ppp in those last two games. The Panthers have held opponents under 60 in five of their last eight games.

WAKE FOREST (+7.5) over Notre Dame

Wake hasn’t quit on their season. They lost three hard fought games on the road at GT, NC State, and Pitt before being rewarded by drubbing BC at home over the weekend. Notre Dame’s just been okay on the road. Their defense is pretty poor and they’re going against a Wake team that has started to shoot well the last couple of games from the outside, which is where the Irish are vulnerable. They can be rebounded against and the Deacs have the horses inside to do so.

IOWA-Wisconsin under 138

The Badgers live for a good slugfest and they’re going to want to make this game the same way. Iowa’s a team that scores a lot of their points from the outside and Wisky is as good as anyone at taking those opportunities away. Teams hit a high percentage, but that’s because they typically only get them in scramble or transition opportunities and not as many in the flow of an offense.


PACERS (-7) over Knicks

HEAT-Warriors under 216.5

MAVERICKS-Thunder over 214.5

CLIPPERS-Nuggets over 213.5

CBB YTD: 213-197-10 (52.0%)

NBA YTD: 74-64-1 (53.6%)

Total YTD: 287-261-10 (52.4%)

Above .500 days: 29

.500 days: 17

Below .500 days: 19

Picks of the Day: CBB and NBA 2/23

2-3 yesterday.


GEORGIA SOUTHERN-Georgia State under 134.5

These two always grind it out against each other. Last year in the Sun Belt title game they had a total of 74. Not a misprint. Southern’s second leading scorer Mike Hughes might not play and even if he does, he’ll be hobbled. The first matchup this year was totaled at 110 before it hit overtime. State just really struggles to score, but they can guard with the best of them.

Clemson (+2.5) over GEORGIA TECH
Clemson-GEORGIA TECH under 135

The Tigers absolutely locked up the Yellow Jackets in the first matchup just recently. Turnovers and fouling were a problem for GT. Clemson shot the ball horribly from outside and still won by 14.

ARKANSAS (-4) over LSU

Just a fade of the Tigers here. Maybe you remember earlier in the year when LSU got off to a rough start and they went on a nice little run when they got fully healthy. One of those guys they needed to get healthy was Keith Hornsby. He’s their best shooter. He averages 13 points per game, which is second on the team. Well, he got injured last game and LSU got beat by 16 at Tennessee. He’s out again tonight. Plus, there’s all of this Ben Simmons stuff going on right now. I wouldn’t worry about that as much if the Tigers actually had a good coach, but they don’t. They have Johnny Jones.

FLORIDA (-3) over Vanderbilt
FLORIDA-Vanderbilt under 138.5

It’s a matchup of two teams fighting for their tournament lives. I always like the home team in these spots. The Gators are coming off an overtime loss at South Carolina. The Commodores are coming off a relatively easy win over Georgia and have Kentucky coming in this weekend. Vandy has won once in their last 13 tries in Gainesville. There’s been one over in that stretch as well. They won the first matchup this year in Nashville by one point on the back of shooting 23 more free throws than the Gators. I like Florida to take this one with a few home calls of their own and to do it in a relatively low scoring fashion.

BRADLEY (+15.5) over Evansville

Evansville had a nice win over the weekend over Southern Illinois, but they haven’t been great on the road lately. Bradley stinks, but they’re playing a lot better than they were when they got murdered at Evansville earlier this year. The Braves are the youngest team in the country and they’re starting to gain a little confidence. They’ve covered six of their last seven.


76ERS (+6) over Magic
76ERS-Magic over 207

JAZZ-Rockets under 204

TRAIL BLAZERS-Nets under 213

CBB YTD: 209-194-10 (51.9%)

NBA YTD: 72-61-1 (54.1%)

Total YTD: 281-255-10 (52.4%)

Above .500 days: 29

.500 days: 16

Below .500 days: 19